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  • Journal article
    Andrews MB, Butchart N, Anstey JA, Bednarz E, Elsbury D, García-Franco JL, Kumar V, Palmeiro FM, Trencham NE, Yoshida K, Chai Z, Hong D-C, Huang K, Jaison AM, Kawatani Y, Knight JR, Lin P, Lott F, Lu Y, Naoe H, Osprey SM, Richter JH, Serva F, Son S-W, Tang Q, Watanabe S, Xie Jet al., 2026,

    Extratropical teleconnections in a multi-model ensemble nudged towards the observed QBO

    , EGUsphere, Vol: 2026, Pages: 1-33
  • Journal article
    Martinez Oliveros JC, Krupar V, Ervin T, Krucker S, Pulupa M, Badman ST, Buitrago Casas JC, Mondal S, Bale SDet al., 2026,

    Multiwavelength Multipoint Observations of the October 28, 2021 Type III Radio Burst.

    , Sol Phys, Vol: 301, ISSN: 0038-0938

    Type III solar radio bursts trace electron beams escaping from flares onto interplanetary magnetic fields, yet unambiguous source identification and continuous beam tracking remain challenging. We analyze a Type III event associated with a compact flare in NOAA AR 12887 studied with an unusually complete set of observables: X-ray imaging of the flare site, radio spectro-polarimetry with direction-finding, and multi-point in-situ particle and wave measurements. This synergy delivered two key results. (1) We identify the burst's solar source region by combining the timing consistency between the flare evolution and the radio onset (after accounting for light-travel time) with the sense and degree of circular polarization. The polarization is consistent with emission on topologically open (or quasi-open) field rooted in a compact EUV arcade, as expected for outward-propagating o/x-mode radiation in a diverging flux system. (2) We localize the electron beam and follow its spatio-temporal evolution into the heliosphere by triangulating radio directions and correlating them with time-of-flight signatures in the in-situ electron data. The accompanying Langmuir-wave measurements constrain the characteristic cross-section of the guiding flux tube via the spatial coherence and bandwidth of the wave packets, providing an empirical estimate of the beam's aperture. The magnetic context of AR 12887 shows a complex photospheric field with adjacent open corridors. This configuration could explain the rapid magnetic connectivity between a compact EUV arcade and interplanetary space, and clarifies why strong polarization can arise even when closed loops are present nearby. Together, these observations establish an end-to-end linkage from flare energy release to heliospheric propagation and provide a template for future coordinated studies that require coincident timing, imaging, polarization, radio direction-finding, and in-situ diagnostics to resolve electron escape pathways.

  • Journal article
    Shuster JR, Bessho N, Dorelli JC, Gershman DJ, Beedle JMH, Gurram H, Ng J, Chen L-J, Torbert RB, Burch JL, Giles BL, Denton RE, Cassak PA, Barbhuiya MH, Schwartz SJ, Liu Y-H, Norgren C, da Silva DE, Genestreti KJ, Heuer SV, Argall MR, Karimi H, Marshall AT, Nakamura R, Liang H, Uritsky VM, Afshari A, Payne DSet al., 2026,

    Smile-shaped electron gradient distributions observed during magnetic reconnection at Earth's magnetopause.

    , Commun Phys, Vol: 9

    The electron diffusion region is central to NASA's Magnetospheric Multiscale (MMS) mission to understand collisionless magnetic reconnection, the plasma physics phenomenon crucial to triggering the explosive energy release of solar flares, powering auroras generated in planetary magnetospheres, and driving sawtooth crashes in laboratory fusion devices. Inside the diffusion region, electron velocity distributions exhibit highly-structured velocity-space signatures critical for elucidating the kinetic mechanisms fueling reconnection. Recent multi-spacecraft analysis techniques enabled observational study of the spatial gradient in the electron velocity distribution, which has been reported in electron-scale current layers to explain the kinetic origins of electron pressure gradients. However, electron gradient distributions have not yet been investigated inside the reconnection diffusion region. In this work, we discover that electron gradient distributions exhibit a smile-shaped velocity-space structure in the electron diffusion region of asymmetric magnetic reconnection at Earth's magnetopause. Characterizing the nature and prevalence of these smile-shaped electron gradient distributions offers a kinetic perspective into how electrons spatially evolve to provide the net electron pressure divergence that self-consistently supports non-ideal electric fields in the electron diffusion region of magnetopause reconnection. These results are relevant to space, astrophysical, and laboratory plasma communities working to understand the long-standing mystery of collisionless magnetic reconnection.

  • Journal article
    Lau KH, Czernichow S, Sparks N, Toumi Ret al., 2026,

    A global parametric rain model for landfalling tropical cyclones: a case study for the U.S.

    , Nat Hazards (Dordr), Vol: 122, ISSN: 0921-030X

    UNLABELLED: Rainfall associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) is a crucial driver of TC hazards, yet estimating TC rain risk from observations is hindered by their relative infrequency. Parametric TC rain models coupled with stochastic TC risk models provide an efficient mean for quantifying such risk. This study introduces a new parametric rain model for landfalling TCs, integrated into the Imperial College Storm Model (IRIS), a statistical-thermodynamic global TC hazard model. Using a 10,000-year simulation, IRIS reproduces observed global return periods of landfall rain rate, storm-total rain volume, and lifetime rain production over land. Over the United States, the model captures observed rainfall climatology and event accumulations with skill comparable to or slightly exceeding existing parametric models. The capability of the model for climate projection is demonstrated through a United States case study using a storyline approach that isolates thermodynamic effects, specifically increases in potential intensity and total column water, under a +2 °C global warming scenario. The pre-landfall maximum azimuthal mean rain rate of United States hurricanes increases by 20.1%, while contraction of the rain field limits the storm-total rain volume increase to 3.9%. Across their lifetimes over land, hurricanes produce 14.6% more rainfall. Spatially, warming enhances rain rates and accumulations across the eastern and southern United States, with the largest absolute increases in the southeast but the strongest relative increases inland and in the northeast, indicating greater inland and poleward penetration of hurricane rainfall under warming. SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11069-026-08150-5.

  • Journal article
    Cohen CMS, Alterman BL, Baker DN, Bruno A, Bzowski M, Christian ER, Cohen IJ, Dalla S, Dayeh MA, Desai MI, Elliott HA, Giacalone J, Gkioulidou M, Guo F, Horbury T, Kanekal SG, Kowalska-Leszczyńska I, Lee CO, Livadiotis GI, Luhmann JG, Matthaeus WH, McComas DJ, Mitchell JG, Moebius E, Rankin J, Richardson JD, Schwadron NA, Skoug R, Turner D, Zank G, Zirnstein EJet al., 2026,

    IMAP's Role in Understanding Particle Injection and Energization Throughout the Heliosphere.

    , Space Sci Rev, Vol: 222, ISSN: 0038-6308

    The payload of the Interstellar Mapping and Acceleration Probe (IMAP) includes sophisticated in situ instruments to measure solar wind plasma and magnetic fields, suprathermal and energetic particles at 1 au as well as unprecedented remote sensing instruments to observe the energetic neutral atoms (ENAs) in the outer heliosphere and the ultraviolet glow of the interstellar neutral H interacting with the three-dimensional solar wind. This unique combination of sensors on a single platform allows connections to be made between the inner and outer heliosphere to an extent never before possible. This article focuses on the scientific theme of connecting the physics of particle acceleration and transport throughout the heliosphere. Such studies enabled by IMAP are organized into three broad categories: i) fundamental particle acceleration and transport processes, ii) heliospheric variability that affects those processes, and iii) inner heliospheric science.

  • Journal article
    Badman ST, Stevens ML, Bale SD, Rivera YJ, Klein KG, Niembro T, Chhiber R, Rahmati A, Whittlesey PL, Livi R, Larson DE, Owen CJ, Paulson KW, Horbury TS, Morris J, O'Brien H, Dakeyo J-B, Verniero JL, Martinovic M, Pulupa M, Fraschetti Fet al., 2025,

    Multispacecraft Measurements of the Evolving Geometry of the Solar Alfvén Surface over Half a Solar Cycle

    , ASTROPHYSICAL JOURNAL LETTERS, Vol: 995, ISSN: 2041-8205
  • Journal article
    Bowen TA, Ervin T, Mallet A, Chandran BDG, Sioulas N, Isenberg PA, Bale SD, Squire J, Klein KG, Pezzi Oet al., 2025,

    Stochastic Heating in the Sub-Alfvénic Solar Wind.

    , Phys Rev Lett, Vol: 135

    Collisionless dissipation of turbulence is important for heating plasmas in astrophysical, space physics, and laboratory environments, controlling energy, momentum, and particle transport. We analyze Parker Solar Probe observations to understand the collisionless heating of the sub-Alfvénic solar wind, which is connected to the solar corona. Our results show that linear resonant heating through parallel-propagating cyclotron waves cannot account for turbulent dissipation in the sub-Alfvénic region, which observations suggest may dissipate turbulence at distances further from the Sun. Instead, we find that stochastic heating can account for the observed ion energization; however, because the dominant contributions arise from infrequent, large-amplitude events, turbulent intermittency must be explicitly incorporated. These observations directly connect stochastic heating via breaking of the proton magnetic moment with the intermittent and inhomogeneous heating of turbulence reported in many previous studies. Our identification of stochastic heating as a dynamic mechanism responsible for intermittent heating of the solar wind has significant implications for turbulent dissipation in the lower corona, other astrophysical environments, and laboratory plasmas.

  • Journal article
    Sharan S, Pais A, Amit H, Langlais Bet al., 2025,

    Fluid flow at the top of Jupiter's dynamo region

    , Journal of Geophysical Research: Planets, ISSN: 2169-9097

    The magnetic main field (MF) and secular variation (SV) models for Jupiter can be used to gain insights about the internal dynamo and the flow that drives the field. We use two such models computed from Juno observations up to spherical harmonic degrees 16 and 8 for the MF and SV, respectively. We solve the radial magnetic induction equation in the frozen-flux approximation, at the dynamo region outer boundary assuming zero radial velocity for four large-scale physical flow assumptions- unconstrained, toroidal, tangentially geostrophic and columnar. We find flows with root mean square velocity varying between 100 and 400 km/yr (0.3-1.3 cm/s) when the dynamo region spherical boundary is taken at 0.83 Jupiter radius. Equatorially symmetric, toroidal and non-zonal velocity components are larger than the anti-symmetric, poloidal and zonal components, respectively, for almost all cases. Toroidal and tangentially geostrophic flows display similar velocity values and patterns, despite relying on different physical assumptions. The four inverted solutions indicate that the Jovian interior has dominant eastward flows nearthe Great Blue Spot, in agreement with previous studies. In addition, our more complex flow models shed light on some new features such as a large non-zonal component,meridional flows in the southern hemisphere and field-aligned flows in the north. Finally, our unconstrained flow solution suggests upwelling near the south pole, consistent withn thermal wind theory.

  • Journal article
    Riddell-Young B, Michel SE, Lan X, Tans P, Röckmann T, Dasgupta B, Oh Y, Bruhwiler LMP, Fujita R, Umezawa T, Morimoto S, Miller JBet al., 2025,

    Microbial driver of 2006-2023 CH4 growth indicated by trends in atmospheric δD-CH4 and δ13C-CH4.

    , Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A, Vol: 122

    Methane (CH4) is the second most important greenhouse gas and has been rising following a brief period of stabilization from 1999 to 2006. Determining the cause of this rise is critical for reducing emissions and predicting future climate sensitivity. The carbon and hydrogen stable isotopic composition of atmospheric CH4 is controlled by variability in isotopically distinguishable emission categories and fractionating sink processes. While most studies using atmospheric δ13C-CH4 data suggest a dominantly microbial source for recent CH4 growth, this understanding is not uniform, and uncertainties remain [S. Schwietzke et al., Nature 538, 88-91 (2016), S. Basu et al., Atmos. Chem. Phys. 22, 15351-15377 (2022), J. Thanwerdas, M. Saunois, A. Berchet, I. Pison, P. Bousquet, Atmos. Chem. Phys. 24, 2129-2167 (2024)]. Here, we present a harmonized global measurement record of atmospheric δD-CH4 and estimate emissions from 1999 to 2022 with global isotope mass balance calculations using both carbon and hydrogen isotopic ratios. We conduct thorough uncertainty analyses to separate absolute magnitude and emission trend uncertainties and find with high confidence that trends in δ13C-CH4 and δD-CH4 observations are both consistent with an entirely microbial emission driver of the post-2006 CH4 rise, while fossil fuel emissions have remained relatively stable.

  • Journal article
    Nakamura R, Dudok de wit T, Jones GH, Taylor MGGT, Andre N, Goetz C, Hadid LZ, Hayes LA, Hietala H, Jackman CM, Kepko L, Marchaudon A, Masters A, Owens M, Partamies N, Poedts S, Rae J, Shprits Y, Temmer M, Verscharen D, Wimmer-Schweingruber RFet al., 2025,

    Establishing a European Heliophysics Community (EHC)

    , Annales Geophysicae, Vol: 43, Pages: 855-879, ISSN: 0992-7689

    Europe hosts a large and highly active community of scientists working in the broad domain of Heliophysics. This broad discipline addresses plasmas in the regions of space and atmosphere influenced by the Sun and solar wind. However, this community has historically been fragmented, both geographically and thematically, which has limited the potential for strategic coordination, collaboration, and growth. This has recently prompted a grass-roots community-building effort to foster communication and interactions within the European Heliophysics Community (EHC). This white paper outlines the motivation, priorities, and initial steps towards establishing the EHC, and presents a vision for the future of Heliophysics in Europe. As a crucial first step of this endeavour, a dedicated EHC website is now available: https://www.heliophysics.eu/ (last access: November 2025).

  • Journal article
    Wong HL, Palacios R, Gryspeerdt E, 2025,

    rojak: A Python library and tool for aviation turbulence diagnostics

    , Journal of Open Source Software, Vol: 10, ISSN: 2475-9066

    Aviation turbulence is atmospheric turbulence occurring at length scales large enough (ap proximately 100m to 1km) to affect an aircraft (Sharman, 2016). According to the National Transport Safety Board (NTSB), turbulence experienced whilst onboard an aircraft was theleading cause of accidents from 2009 to 2018 (NTSB, 2021). Clear air turbulence (CAT) is a form of aviation turbulence which cannot be detected by the onboard weather radar. Thus, pilots are unable to preemptively avoid such regions. In order to mitigate this safety risk, CAT diagnostics are used to forecast turbulent regions such that pilots are able to tactically avoidthem.rojak is a parallelised Python library and command-line tool for using meteorological data to forecast CAT and evaluating the effectiveness of CAT diagnostics against turbulence observations. Currently, it supports,1. Computing turbulence diagnostics on meteorological data from the European Centrefor Medium-Range Weather Forecasts’s (ECMWF) ERA5 reanalysis on pressure levels(Hersbach, 2023). Moreover, it is easily extendable through a software update to supportother types of meteorological data.2. Retrieving and processing turbulence observations from Aircraft Meteorological DataRelay (AMDAR) data archived at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration(NOAA)(NCEP Meteorological Assimilation Data Ingest System (MADIS), 2024) andAMDAR data collected via the Met Office MetDB system (Met Office, 2008)3. Computing 27 different turbulence diagnostics, such as the three-dimensional fronto genesis equation (Bluestein, 1993), turbulence index 1 and 2 (Ellrod & Knapp, 1992),negative vorticity advection (Sharman et al., 2006), and Brown’s Richardson tendencyequation (Brown, 1973).4. Converting turbulence diagnostic values into the eddy dissipation rate (EDR) — the International Civil Aviation Organization’s (ICAO) official metric for reporting turbulence (Meteorological Service for International Air Navigati

  • Journal article
    Warwick L, Oetjen H, Murray J, Panditharatne S, Brindley H, Schuettemeyer D, Chen X, Huang Xet al., 2025,

    In situ measurements of ice and snow emissivity in the far-infrared

    , Earth and Space Science, Vol: 12, ISSN: 2333-5084

    This paper describes the first field deployment of the Far INfrarEd Spectrometer for Surface Emissivity far-infrared Fourier transform spectrometer to an Arctic environment and shows retrievals of the emissivity of ice and snow in the wavenumber range 400–1,200 cm−1 at viewing angles of 35° and 50°. The retrieved ice emissivity shows a variation of 0.05 between the peak value at around 950 cm−1 and the minimum value at around 750 cm−1. The emissivity is also between 0.01 and 0.02 lower for the higher viewing angle. The emissivity of snow is higher and shows less variation with both viewing angle and wavenumber but it is 0.01 less than one below 900 cm−1. This has implications for remote sensing and climate modeling in this wavenumber range as it implies that both the spectral and angular variation of emissivity must be taken into account. The retrieved ice emissivity agrees well with the emissivity modeled using Fresnel equations. The retrieved snow emissivity agrees well with modeled snow emissivity but further independent measurements of the snow physical properties are needed to test the performance of the model in the far infrared.

  • Journal article
    Stedman M, Hunt SE, De Vis P, Bantges R, Brindley H, Fox Net al., 2025,

    Impact of characterization on cross-calibration performance for multispectral sensors with SI-traceable satellite mission TRUTHS

    , IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol: 63, ISSN: 0196-2892

    A new generation of satellites designed for low-uncertainty, SI-traceable measurements—termed“SITSats”—marks a major advancement in Earth observation (EO) capability. These missions aim to enhance the performance and interoperability of the EO “system of systems.” Among them, the ESA Earth Watch Traceable Radiometry Underpinning Terrestrial- and Helio-Studies (TRUTHS) mission is designedto serve as a “gold-standard” radiometric reference for cross-calibrating EO sensors in the solar reflective domain. In this work, uncertainties in cross-calibration comparisons arising from sensor characterization and design are investigated. A processing chain to prepare collocated data for uncertainty-quantified comparison is presented. This includes steps to perform spectral band adjustment and spatial resampling. Using the TRUTHS hyperspectral imaging spectrometer (HIS)as the reference and Sentinel-2 multispectral imager (MSI) as the target, a simulation study based on high-resolution imagery assesses achievable comparison performance. A subset of uncertainty effects driven by sensor characterization is propagated through the spectral and spatial processing using a Monte Carlo approach. Sentinel-2 data are assumed at 10-m resolution, which is most sensitive to the errors considered. The results highlight the importance of sensor characterization, particularly inherent in-flight wavelength knowledge for target sensors, in such comparisons. Results from the simulation analysis give uncertainty estimates (k = 1) of 0.31% (blue), 0.50% (green), and 0.23% (red) for the combined error effectsarising from sensor characterization and geolocation uncertainty for comparisons over the Libya-4 desert pseudo-invariant calibration sites (PICS) using an instantaneous 205-m square comparison region. Results for more heterogeneous scenes, such as rainforest, still achieve uncertainties of 0.6%–1.2% for the red–green–blue (RGB) ban

  • Journal article
    ,

  • Journal article
    Breul P, Ceppi P, Simpson IR, Woollings Tet al., 2025,

    Seasonal and regional jet stream changes and drivers

    , NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, Vol: 6, Pages: 824-842
  • Journal article
    Farahat A, Oliveros JCM, Bale SD, 2025,

    Simulation and Design of a CubeSat-Compatible X-Ray Photovoltaic Payload Using Timepix3 Sensors

    , AEROSPACE, Vol: 12
  • Journal article
    Kang H, Choi Y, 2025,

    Estimating Tropical Upper‐Level Cloud Feedback Based on Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Framework

    , Geophysical Research Letters, Vol: 52, ISSN: 0094-8276

    <jats:title>Abstract</jats:title> <jats:p> Tropical upper‐level cloud (TUC) feedback remains highly uncertain because TUC fraction and its radiative effect respond in complex ways to sea surface temperature (SST) warming. Using a radiative–convective equilibrium (RCE) model, we isolate the radiative impact of TUC changes by adjusting the relative occurrence of clouds and water vapor across the tropics. The resulting TUC feedback parameter, estimated from RCE experiments with observationally constrained versus CMIP6‐derived TUC fractions, is more negative for observational inputs (−1.66 to −1.24 W m <jats:sup>−2</jats:sup>  K <jats:sup>−1</jats:sup> ) and spans a much broader range for CMIP6 inputs (−1.34 to +1.78 W m <jats:sup>−2</jats:sup>  K <jats:sup>−1</jats:sup> ). The stronger negative feedback with observational inputs likely reflects a larger reduction in TUCs with SST warming. In contrast, CMIP6‐based parameters indicate weaker radiative effects of SST‐driven TUC reductions, suggesting that climate models may underestimate this negative feedback. </jats:p>

  • Journal article
    Livadiotis G, Cuesta ME, Khoo LY, Shen MM, Mccomas DJ, Pulupa M, Bale SD, Livi Ret al., 2025,

    Entropy transfer from solar radio bursts to energetic particles

    , SCIENCE ADVANCES, Vol: 11
  • Journal article
    Pugsley G, Gryspeerdt E, Nair V, 2025,

    Cloud fraction response to aerosol driven by nighttime processes

    , Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of USA, Vol: 122, ISSN: 0027-8424

    Aerosol–cloud interactions remain one of the largest uncertainties in the anthropogenic forcing of the climate; a significant contribution to this is due to the aerosol effect on the development of cloud fraction and liquid water path in stratocumulus clouds. Stratocumulus are strongly modulated by the diurnal cycle, but many previous observational studies have primarily focused on the daytime behavior of these clouds. In this work, a Lagrangian framework is used to characterize the day-night variation in the cloud sensitivity to aerosol. It is shown that the cloud fraction response to aerosol is driven by nighttime processes, whereas aerosols play a lesser role in daytime cloud fraction breakup. The liquid water path response reveals that aerosols act to thin the cloud during the daytime; however, this effect is partially offset by other processes during the nighttime. These nighttime cloud processes play an important role in setting the cloud state at the start of the day and hence the daytime cloud evolution, during which stratocumulus clouds have the greatest radiative impact. Our findings are consistent with an aerosol induced suppression of precipitation that acts most effectively at night, when stratocumulus precipitation is strongest. These results highlight a requirement for nighttime observations of marine clouds and an improved representation of the diurnal cycle in model-observation comparisons, especially when assessing climate forcing and the viability of marine cloud brightening.

  • Journal article
    Williams RG, Goodwin P, Ceppi P, Jones CD, MacDougall AHet al., 2025,

    A normalised framework for the Zero Emissions Commitment

    , BIOGEOSCIENCES, Vol: 22, Pages: 7167-7186, ISSN: 1726-4170
  • Journal article
    Lee CO, Christian ER, Sandoval L, Crabtree A, Desai MI, Gkioulidou M, Heber B, Horbury T, Kistler L, Knuth J, Larsen K, Livi S, Lucas GM, Matlin DE, Marbois T, Mccomas DJ, Mitchell JG, Mukherjee J, Rankin JS, Reno C, Schwadron NA, Shrestha BL, Skoug RM, Smith EJ, Starkey MJ, Turner DL, Williams BD, Zirnstein EJet al., 2025,

    Space Weather Science to Enhance Forecasting with the NASA IMAP Active Link for Real-Time (I-ALiRT) System

    , SPACE SCIENCE REVIEWS, Vol: 221, ISSN: 0038-6308
  • Conference paper
    Lin J, Gryspeerdt E, Clark R, 2025,

    Cloud-stereo: a dataset and benchmark for reconstructing atmospheric clouds from stereo images

    , BMVC 2025, Publisher: The British Machine Vision Association and Society for Pattern Recognition

    Obtaining accurate measurements of clouds is a critical problem in atmospheric physics, as accurate modeling of cloud properties allows us to better understand and predict climate change. Stereo camera networks have shown promise in obtaining such measurements, being able to reconstruct detailed cloud fields over multi-km$^2$ domains. However, previous studies on cloud stereo depth estimation have been limited to using traditional (non-learned) matching techniques, due to the absence of suitable training datasets for this challenging domain. In this work, we present a novel dataset (Cloud-Stereo) specifically tailored for cloud depth estimation. The Cloud-Stereo dataset includes: 1) a synthetic dataset for training, comprising 3000 stereo pairs and simulated dense LiDAR depth data, and 2) a high-accuracy real-world dataset consisting of $\approx 120k$ frames acquired from a stereo camera and Doppler Aerosol LiDAR for testing. Using our dataset we benchmark existing learning and non-learning based stereo depth estimation approaches, and demonstrate that fine-tuning on our dataset can lead to significant accuracy improvement for learned methods. We believe this dataset will enable the training of future, more accurate, methods for cloud field reconstruction, enhancing a unique measurement capability for developing and evaluating atmospheric models. The dataset is available at https://cloud-stereo.jacob-lin.com/.

  • Journal article
    Driver OGA, Stettler MEJ, Gryspeerdt E, 2025,

    The ice supersaturation biases limiting contrail modelling are structured around extratropical depressions

    , Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (ACP), Vol: 25, Pages: 16411-16433, ISSN: 1680-7316

    Contrails are ice clouds formed along aircraft flight tracks, responsible for much of aviation's climate warming impact. Ice-supersaturated regions (ISSRs) provide conditions where contrail ice crystals can persist, but meteorological models often mispredict their occurrence, limiting contrail modelling. This deficiency is often treated by applying local humidity corrections. However, model performance is also affected by synoptic conditions (such as extratropical depressions).Here, composites of ERA5 reanalysis data around North Atlantic extratropical depressions enable a link between their structure and ISSR modelling. ISSRs are structured by these systems: at flight levels, ISSRs occur less frequently in the dry intrusion – descending upper-tropospheric air – than above warm conveyors – where air is lifted. Both ERA5 reanalysis and in situ aircraft observations show this contrast, demonstrating that the model reproduces the fundamental relationship. Individual-ISSR modelling performance (quantified using interpretable metrics) is also structured. Of the rare ISSRs diagnosed in the location associated with the dry intrusion, fewer are confirmed by in situ observations (20 %–25 % precision drop compared to the warm conveyor) and fewer of those observed were diagnosed (13 %–19 % recall drop). Scaling humidity beyond the occurrence rate bias dramatically increases the recall at low precision cost, demonstrating the potential value of scaling approaches designed with different intentions. However, the failure of scaling to improve precision, or the performance in the dry intrusion, implies that there is a need to account for the synoptic weather situation and structure in order to improve ISSR forecasts in support of mitigating aviation's climate impact.

  • Journal article
    Mandikas VG, Voulgarakis A, 2025,

    High-Resolution Numerical Scheme for Simulating Wildland Fire Spread

    , MATHEMATICS, Vol: 13
  • Journal article
    Yufei Y, Timothy H, Domenico T, Lorenzo M, Joseph W, Andrey F, Philippe L, Stuart B, Marc P, Davin L, Michael S, Milan M, Yuri K, Andrea L, Roberto Let al., 2025,

    Ion-scale solitary structures in the solar wind observed by Solar Orbiter and Parker Solar Probe

    , Astrophysical Journal Letters, Vol: 994, ISSN: 2041-8205

    We investigate a class of ion-scale magnetic solitary structures in the solar wind, characterized by distinct magnetic field enhancements and bipolar rotations over spatial scales of several proton inertial lengths. These structures are revisited using high-resolution data from the Solar Orbiter and Parker Solar Probe missions. Using a machine learning-based method, we identified nearly a thousand such structures, providing new insights into their evolution and physical properties. Statistical analysis shows that these structures are more abundant closer to the Sun, with occurrence rates peaking around 30 - 40 Rsun and decreasing farther out. High-cadence measurements reveal that these structures are predominantly found in low-beta (beta <1) environments, with consistent fluctuations in density, velocity, and magnetic field. Magnetic field enhancements are often accompanied by plasma density drops, which, under near pressure balance, limit field increases. This leads to small fractional field enhancements near the Sun (approximately 0.01 at 20 Rsun), making detection challenging. Magnetic field variance analysis indicates that these structures are primarily oblique to the local magnetic field. Alfvénic velocity-magnetic field correlations suggest that most of these structures, unlike most near-Sun solar wind fluctuations, exhibit sunward-directed Alfvenic polarization in the plasma frame. We compare these findings with previous studies, discussing possible generation mechanisms and their implications for the turbulent cascade in the near-Sun Alfvénic solar wind. While these structures might be Alfvénic solitons, vortices, or flux ropes, we refrain from a definitive classification pending further evidence. Further high-resolution observations and simulations are needed to fully understand their origins and impacts.

  • Journal article
    Li J-H, Khotyaintsev YV, Graham DB, Horbury T, Louarn Pet al., 2025,

    Solar Orbiter Observations of a Self-Consistent Ion-Scale Magnetic Hole at 0.9AU

    , GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS, Vol: 52, ISSN: 0094-8276
  • Journal article
    Dasgupta B, Menoud M, van der Veen C, Levin I, Veidt C, Moossen H, Michel SE, Sperlich P, Morimoto S, Fujita R, Umezawa T, Platt S, Zwaaftink CG, Myhre CL, Fisher R, Lowry D, Nisbet EG, France J, Maisch CW, Brailsford G, Moss R, Goto D, Pandey S, Houweling S, Warwick N, Röckmann Tet al., 2025,

    Harmonisation of methane isotope ratio measurements from different laboratories using atmospheric samples

    , Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol: 18, Pages: 6591-6607, ISSN: 1867-1381

    Establishing interlaboratory compatibility among measurements of stable isotope ratios of atmospheric methane (δ<sup>13</sup>C-CH<inf>4</inf> and δD-CH<inf>4</inf>) is challenging. Significant offsets are common because laboratories have different ties to the VPDB or SMOW-SLAP scales. Umezawa et al. (2018) surveyed numerous comparison efforts for CH<inf>4</inf> isotope measurements conducted from 2003 to 2017 and found scale offsets of up to 0.5 ‰ for δ<sup>13</sup>C-CH<inf>4</inf> and 13 ‰ for δD-CH<inf>4</inf> between laboratories. This exceeds the World Meteorological Organisation Global Atmospheric Watch (WMO-GAW) network compatibility targets of 0.02 ‰ and 1 ‰ considerably. We employ a method to establish scale offsets between laboratories using their reported CH<inf>4</inf> isotope measurements on atmospheric samples. Our study includes data from eight laboratories with experience in high-precision isotope ratio mass spectrometry (IRMS) measurements for atmospheric CH<inf>4</inf>. The analysis relies exclusively on routine atmospheric measurements conducted by these laboratories at high-latitude stations in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, where we assume each measurement represents sufficiently well-mixed air at the latitude for direct comparison. We use two methodologies for interlaboratory comparisons: (I) assessing differences between time-adjacent observation data and (II) smoothing the observed data using polynomial and harmonic functions before comparison. The results of both methods are consistent, and with a few exceptions, the overall average offsets between laboratories align well with those reported by Umezawa et al. (2018). This indicates that interlaboratory offsets remain robust over multi-year periods. The evaluation of routine measurements allows us to calculate the interlaborator

  • Journal article
    Muro GD, Cohen CMS, Xu Z, Leske RA, Cummings AC, Bale S, Berland GD, Christian ER, Cuesta ME, Desai MI, Fraschetti F, Giacalone J, Khoo LY, Labrador A, McComas DJ, Mitchell JG, Pulupa M, Schwadron NA, Shen MMet al., 2025,

    Energy-Dependent SEP Fe/O Abundances During the May 2024 Superstorm

    , SPACE WEATHER-THE INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF RESEARCH AND APPLICATIONS, Vol: 23
  • Report
    Clarke B, Barnes C, Keeping T, Sparks N, Heng Lau K, Toumi R, Arrighi J, Singh R, Vahlberg M, Meyer R, Scholz C, Baumgart NJ, Raju E, Koren G, Taylor MA, Stephenson TS, Jones JJ, Campbell JD, Spence JM, Centella-Artola A, Bezanilla-Morlot A, Rubiera J, Bergin C, Yang W, Otto F, Philip S, Kew S, McFarlane B, Douglas K, Vrkic Det al., 2025,

    Climate change enhanced intensity of Hurricane Melissa, testing limits of adaptation in Jamaica and eastern Cuba

  • Journal article
    Von Salzen K, Akingunola A, Cole JNS, Digby RAR, Doherty SJ, Fraser-Leach L, Gryspeerdt E, Sigmond M, Wood Ret al., 2025,

    Reduced aerosol pollution diminished cloud reflectivity over the North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific

    , Nature Communications, Vol: 16, ISSN: 2041-1723

    Over the past several decades, the proportion of solar radiation reflected back into space has declined, accelerating the accumulation of heat within the Earth system. Here we show that the marine cloud reflectivity decreased on average by 2.8 ± 1.2% per decade in the combined North Atlantic and Northeast Pacific regions between 2003 and 2022. The majority of the Earth System Models we analyzed simulated a significantly weaker cloud reflectivity decrease and warming of the sea surface in these regions than observed. In contrast, our simulations using an improved aerosol-climate model reproduce the spatial extent and magnitude of the observed cloud reflectivity decrease. We show that reductions in sulfur dioxide and other aerosol precursors accounted for 69% (range 55−85%) of the cloud reflectivity decrease through aerosol-cloud interactions, consistent with the observed aerosol and cloud trends. This raises the prospect of a continuing cloud reflectivity decrease and an associated warming impact in these regions, given that the emission reductions are projected to persist over the next few decades. Further research is needed to assess whether near-term climate scenarios should be revised to account for the weak cloud reflectivity reductions in the Earth System Models.

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